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Wednesday, 19 March 2014

Official analysis overstates impact of 9% incomes drop on top 10% & understates dire 5% drop for bottom 10%

By Revd Paul Nicolson of Taxpayers Against Poverty
IMPACT OF THE DROP INCOMES IS OVERSTATED AT THE TOP AND UNDERSTATED AT THE BOTTOM
Larry Elliott’s business analysis (Living standards, 18 March) follows the conventional wisdom of all macro-economic commentators by focusing on incomes before housing costs have been deducted.
That way the impact of the drop in incomes is overstated at the top and understated at the bottom.
There is no shock horror in learning that the top 10% of the income distribution has fared worst of all with a decline of 9% between 2010 and 2013. Their property has leapt in value and their income after housing costs is still in the millions – not exactly a clobbering.
For the bottom 10% a drop of 5% before housing cost turns into a disaster for millions of tenants after housing costs have been deducted.
The disconnect between the poverty debate and reality in the UK will continue until the Institute for Fiscal Studies, and other independent analysts, provide robust micro-economic data about the dire cumulative impact of benefit caps and cuts, and the imposition of council tax and its enforcement, on the incomes after housing costs, needed for food, utilities, clothes and transport, in work and unemployment, since the April 2013 implementation of so-called welfare reform.
Rev Paul Nicolson
Taxpayers Against Poverty

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